9,100人と考えAIとも議論する、変化する国際情勢とあいも変わらずの日本の行方

1. The Termination of the “Endangerment Finding”

President Trump has issued a landmark executive decision to rescinded the legal and scientific foundations of greenhouse gas regulations. Specifically, he announced the formal termination of the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) “Endangerment Finding.”

The President characterized this move as the “largest regulatory rollback in U.S. history,” dismissing the Obama-Biden era policies as a “grand fraud” that crippled the American auto industry and burdened consumers. This is not merely a policy shift; it is a fundamental rejection of the scientific standard of proof that has governed executive agency actions for decades.

2. Historical Analogy: The Structural Parallels to China’s Cultural Revolution

The core of this analysis draws a provocative parallel between current U.S. trajectory and the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution (1966–1976) led by Mao Zedong.

  • The Assault on Professional Expertise: Just as Mao mobilized the Red Guards to purge “reactionary authorities”—engineers, doctors, and professors—to mask the failures of the Great Leap Forward, the Trump administration is targeting scientific consensus (in climate science and public health) as an “elite scam.”
  • The Dissolution of Shared Facts: A functioning democracy requires an infrastructure of reliable, rational information. By replacing statistical and scientific evidence with “Alternative Facts,” the administration is dissolving the “common ground of reality” necessary for informed civic discourse.
  • The Rise of “RFK Science”: The shift toward unconventional frameworks, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s “MAHA (Make America Healthy Again) Science,” signals a broader replacement of institutional expertise with ideologically driven narratives.

3. Economic Context: The “K-Shaped” Fracturing of Society

The article posits that this “Revolution” is fueled by deep-seated institutional fatigue and economic disparity.

  • The Consumption Gap: According to Moody’s Analytics, the top 10% of households now account for roughly half of all U.S. consumer spending—a significant leap from one-third just thirty years ago.
  • Weaponizing Discontent: The President has successfully converted the frustrations of the “K-shaped economy” into resentment against the “Administrative State.” While policies like reciprocal tariffs may ultimately burden the public, they are framed as a liberation from the “fraudulent” elite status quo.

4. Distinctly American Risks: Fragmented Sovereignty

While the structural echoes of 1960s China are clear, the article identifies three unique American factors that may lead to a different, yet equally perilous, outcome:

  • The Right to Dissent: Unlike China’s centralized military authority, the U.S. Constitution provides a framework for non-compliance. This suggests that instead of a total state pivot, the U.S. faces a state of “Chronic Chaos” where different factions adhere to entirely different “facts.”
  • Institutional Resilience as a Double-Edged Sword: While judicial independence and professional ethics may prevent a total systemic collapse, they may also lead to a “loss of national integration,” eroding America’s advantage as a unified global market.
  • The Fate of the Radicals: Historically, the Red Guards were eventually suppressed and “sent down” to the countryside (Down to the Countryside Movement) once their utility vanished. The article hints at a future where radical elements of the MAGA movement may eventually be sidelined by the very chaos they helped create.

Conclusion: Decline Through Disintegration

The rollback of environmental protections may offer short-term industrial optics, but it risks the long-term global competitiveness of U.S. manufacturing.

The ultimate takeaway for historians is the emergence of an “Invisible Border”—a profound internal decoupling between a wealthy, globally integrated America and a disenfranchised, isolated America. This systemic fragmentation, rather than any single policy, is identified as the primary catalyst for the decline of the United States.

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